Impact of Eosinophil Levels on Disease Progression and Clinical Outcomes in Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) Patients: A Retrospective Study
PDF
Cite
Share
Request
Original Article
VOLUME: 40 ISSUE: 3
P: 150 - 156
September 2025

Impact of Eosinophil Levels on Disease Progression and Clinical Outcomes in Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) Patients: A Retrospective Study

Medeni Med J 2025;40(3):150-156
1. Istanbul Medeniyet University Faculty of Medicine, Goztepe Prof. Dr. Suleyman Yalcın City Hospital, Department of Pulmonology, Istanbul, Türkiye
2. University of Health Sciences Türkiye, Yedikule Chest Disease and Chest Surgery Training and  Research Hospital, Clinic of Pulmonology, Istanbul, Türkiye
3. Istanbul Medeniyet University Faculty of Medicine, Goztepe Prof. Dr. Suleyman Yalcın City Hospital, Department of Public Health, Istanbul, Türkiye
No information available.
No information available
Received Date: 25.03.2025
Accepted Date: 05.08.2025
Online Date: 29.09.2025
Publish Date: 29.09.2025
PDF
Cite
Share
Request

ABSTRACT

Objective

The role of total eosinophil count (EOS) in  chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) remains debated, with studies suggesting both positive and negative impacts on disease progression. This retrospective study aimed to investigate the relationship between stable-state blood EOS levels and clinical outcomes, including hospitalizations, emergency room (ER) visits, and pneumonia, in COPD patients.

Methods

Data from 398 COPD patients were analyzed, focusing on blood EOS counts and percentages acquired during stable periods. Patients were categorized based on EOS thresholds of 150 cells/µL and 2%. The number of hospitalizations, ER visits, and pneumonia diagnoses in the preceding year was retrieved from hospital records and patient reports.

Results

Patients with EOS levels below 150 cells/µL or 2% showed a significantly higher number of hospitalizations. Additionally, patients with EOS percentages below 2% had higher COPD Assessment Test and Modified Medical Research Council scores, indicating greater symptom burden and dyspnea. Logistic regression analysis confirmed that a lower EOS percentage was an independent predictor of increased hospitalizations, similar to its association with lower FEV1% and more than two ER visits.

Conclusions

This study suggests that low blood EOS counts are associated with increased hospitalizations and worse clinical outcomes in COPD patients. This finding highlights the importance of considering EOS levels as a potential biomarker for disease severity and may lead to personalized treatment strategies. Further prospective studies are needed to validate these findings and elucidate the underlying mechanisms.

Keywords:
Eosinophils, forced expiratory volume, hospitalization, pulmonary disease, chronic obstructive

INTRODUCTION

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), a preventable condition, presents a significant global health burden. It is the fourth leading cause of death worldwide, causing 3.5 million deaths in 2021. Nearly 90% of the deaths in individuals under 70 years of age occur in low and middle-income countries1. It is characterized by airflow limitation, respiratory symptoms, and exacerbations. The development of COPD results from a complex interaction between inherited predispositions, external influences, and inflammatory responses2. The focus on total eosinophil count (EOS) and its influence on COPD has grown substantially in the last few years. EOS are white blood cells that play a role in allergic inflammation and certain parasitic infections. EOS activity within COPD patients fluctuates based on specific disease presentations and how the condition progresses3. Although the role of EOS in COPD is not yet fully understood, existing evidence suggests that these cells play a significant role in airway inflammation and disease heterogeneity. Traditionally, COPD has been associated with neutrophilic inflammation. However, 37% of patients with COPD have EOS inflammation in the Evaluation of COPD Longitudinally to Identify Predictive Surrogate Endpoints study4. This suggests the existence of different COPD phenotypes, each of which may require different treatment approaches5. The identification of EOSic COPD phenotypes has significant clinical implications. By monitoring blood EOS counts, clinicians can optimize corticosteroid regimens, potentially decreasing reliance on systemic corticosteroids and mitigating their associated side effects. EOS-guided therapy has been shown to be non-inferior to standard care in terms of days alive and out of hospital, while also reducing corticosteroid exposure in COPD exacerbations6. A positive correlation has been observed between increased EOS concentrations and enhanced short-term clinical outcomes in COPD patients, with a particular emphasis on those with a prior history of tobacco use. These patients tend to have shorter hospital stays and a better response to corticosteroid therapy compared to those with lower EOS counts7.

Eosinopenia has also been associated with an increased risk of treatment failure in COPD exacerbations. Various thresholds for eosinopenia have been used in studies of patients with COPD exacerbations: <50 cells/µL, <150 cells/µL, <0.144 × 109/L, <2%5, 8, 9. Further research is needed on whether eosinopenia can be used as a marker of severity in COPD exacerbations and to determine an appropriate threshold value. The aim of this study was to investigate the relationship between blood EOS levels during the stable period and the number of hospitalizations, pneumonia, and emergency room (ER) admissions detected in the previous year.

MATERIALS and METHODS

The study included participants from two different study cohorts: Yazar et al’s10 and Gürel et al’s11.  In both studies, the relationship was evaluated between demographic characteristics such as age, gender, pulmonary function test values, EOS count and percentages in the blood measured during the stable period, history of hospitalizations due to COPD in the last year, number of ER visits, and history of pneumonia, in patients who have been under treatment and follow-up with a diagnosis of COPD for at least 1 year was evaluated. Both studies from which data were obtained received approval from the local Ethics Committee of Medeniyet University (decision number: 2018/24-05, date: 28.12.2018). First study from Biruni University, second study from Clinical Research Ethics Committee of Medeniyet University, Göztepe Training and Research Hospital. All patients included in the study were informed about the study, and written consent was obtained from them.

The inclusion criteria for patients were the following: 1. age ≥40 years; 2. routine baseline stable state peripheral blood test results before receiving any antibiotic or systemic corticosteroid therapy; 3. patients diagnosed with COPD according to the Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease guideline with previous spirometry detected forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1)/forced vital capacity (FVC) ratio of <0.70.

The exclusion criteria were 1. bronchial asthma, asthma-COPD overlap syndrome, parasites, or other allergic diseases associated with elevated EOS levels in peripheral blood; 3. patients with missing data; 4. Patients who do not consent to participate in the study

The number of hospitalizations due to COPD exacerbations, ER admissions, and pneumonia diagnoses in the previous year was retrieved from the hospital’s database and patient’s statements.

It has been observed that EOS counts measured during acute exacerbations are not associated with future rehospitalizations or long-term mortality12. To assess a patient’s overall long-term risk profile and potential for future hospitalizations, EOS levels during the stable state provide a more reliable indicator, as this state is more consistent than the transient inflammatory status observed during an exacerbation. Therefore, blood samples from patients were collected during the stable state, defined as having no recent exacerbation or at least being four weeks after the last exacerbation.

The patients were divided into two groups based on their peripheral blood EOS count and percentage. Cutoff values are selected as 150 cells/mL and 2%.

Statistical Analysis

Continuous variables are expressed as mean values with standard deviation and compared with Student’s t-test or Mann-Whitney test as appropriate, whereas categorical variables are expressed as percentages and compared by the chi-square test. Spearman’s correlation was used to identify. Multiple logistic regression analyses were performed to assess possible associations between hospitalization and other variables. p-values less than 0.05 were deemed statistically significant.

RESULTS

This retrospective study included 398 patients with COPD. The study population had a mean age of 65.15 years, with a predominance of males (84.4%). A significant proportion of patients (46.3%) were current or former smokers, with a mean smoking history of 47.5 pack-years. The mean FEV1% value was 50.55±18.72, and the mean FVC % was 65.62±19.13 (Table 1). The mean EOS count was 221.67±150.75, and the EOS % was 2.51±1.71. In the year prior to the study, the mean number of hospitalizations was 0.17±0.58, ER admissions was 1.53±3.01, and the diagnosis of pneumonia was 0.79±1.57.

Patients were categorized based on blood EOS count (cutoff: 150 cells/µL) and EOS percentage (cutoff: 2%). Significant differences in the number of hospitalizations were observed between the groups defined by both EOS count and percentage (Table 2). Furthermore, when using the 2% EOS percentage cutoff, significant differences were also found in COPD Assessment Test (CAT) and modified Medical Research Council (mMRC) scores between the groups. Higher number of hospitalizations in the previous year (<2% vs. ≥2%; 0.27±0.74 vs. 0.09±0.43), higher number of patients with CAT score over 10 (<2% vs. ≥2%; %66.3 vs. % 56.0) and higher number of patients with mMRC score over 2 (<2% vs. ≥2%; %57.8 vs. %44.0) were detected in patients with EOS <2%.

The number of hospitalizations was correlated with FEV1% predicted (c: -0.206, p<0.001), ER admissions (c: 0.362, p<0.001), CAT (c: 0.183, p<0.001), and mMRC scores (c: 0.228, p<0.001). Correlations remained significant even when groups were separated (Table 3 and Figure 1).

Logistic regression analysis revealed that previous year’s number of hospitalizations was significantly associated with lower predicted FEV1% [odds ratio (OR) 0.970, 95% CI 0.948-0.992, p: 0.008, EOS percentage less than 2% (OR: 2.505, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.208-5.196, p: 0.014), and more than two ER admissions (OR: 6.361, 95% CI 2.865-14.123, p<0.001) (Table 4).

DISCUSSION

Our study demonstrated significant associations between the number of hospitalizations and predicted FEV1%, ER visits, CAT scores, and mMRC scores. These correlations remained statistically significant after stratifying by EOS count, supporting the hypothesis that low EOS counts may independently affect the clinical course and outcomes of COPD. In addition, this study identified a statistically significant association between low blood EOS counts (≤150 cell/µL or ≤2%) and an increased number of hospitalizations among patients with COPD during a stable phase. Despite ongoing debate regarding the precise mechanisms of EOS in COPD, studies have established a link between elevated EOS counts and exacerbations requiring hospital admission. Conversely, other research suggests that low EOS levels may indicate adverse clinical outcomes. Our findings are consistent with the “non-EOS COPD” phenotype as described in the literature, a distinct phenotype characterized by more severe airflow limitation, a higher frequency of exacerbations, diminished quality of life, and increased mortality risk13.

The blood EOS level used in COPD phenotyping is related to disease prognosis and management. However, research findings conflict regarding the role of blood EOS levels in COPD exacerbations. Several studies indicate that increased EOS counts (at or above 2% or 300 cells/µL) correlate with improved responses to systemic corticosteroid therapy and reduced length of hospital stays14, 15. We found that patients with EOS counts less than 150 cells/µL or 2% experienced a significantly higher number of hospital admissions, ER visits, and pneumonia compared to individuals with higher EOS levels.

Several potential mechanisms may explain the link between diminished EOS counts and heightened hospitalization risk. These include the activation of alternative inflammatory pathways, an elevated susceptibility to bacterial infections, a diminished responsiveness to corticosteroid treatment, and exacerbated systemic inflammation9, 14, 16. As EOS are immune cells normally found in the respiratory tract, providing defense against pathogens, their reduction may increase susceptibility to infections.  Moreover, investigations have demonstrated that reduced EOS counts often coincide with elevated neutrophil counts, indicating a distinct inflammatory pattern16. Although our data did not include neutrophil counts, we observed a higher rate of pneumonia diagnoses in patients with low EOS levels, consistent with these findings.

As patients were categorized based on EOS levels, the distinction among their clinical parameters became particularly evident when a 2% threshold was applied to the EOS percentage in our study. We observed that patients with an EOS percentage below 2 had higher CAT and mMRC scores. This suggests that a low EOS percentage may correlate with the severity of symptoms and dyspnea, affecting patients beyond hospitalization. This finding supports the idea that EOS in COPD may have an impact on the long-term course of the disease and symptom management in addition to acute exacerbations. Similar to our findings, Lv et al.17 reported significantly increased inflammation, reduced lung function, extended hospital stays, elevated mMRC and CAT scores, higher mortality, and greater utilization of non-invasive mechanical ventilation in patients with EOS counts below 2%. Furthermore, in two studies conducted by Ko et al.12 and Greulich et al.14, patients with low EOS counts (<2% or <100 cells/µL) had consistently longer hospitalizations compared to patients with higher EOS levels.

While discrepancies exist across various studies, a general tendency suggests that elevated blood EOS counts in COPD patients might correlate with better, or at least comparable, lung function, however, the clinical significance of these improvements isn’t always substantial. Despite this, high EOS counts have been linked to a rapid decline in lung function as indicated by published data18-20. Conversely, it’s important to note that lower EOS counts don’t consistently correspond to a slower decline. In our study, despite varying EOS thresholds (150 and 2%), no significant differences were observed between groups in baseline respiratory function tests, indicating that these specific EOS cut-offs may not be directly linked to the degree of pulmonary impairment at a stable state. Factors such as a history of smoking and patients’ treatment differences are likely to have an influence on this complicated relationship19, 20. Interestingly, despite the faster decline in FEV1, patients with consistently high EOS levels tend to have better survival rates and improved symptom control compared to those with lower EOS levels16, 21.

Study Limitations

Our investigation is subject to several limitations. A significant limitation is its single-center, retrospective design, which may inherently restrict the generalizability of our findings to broader populations. Furthermore, our analysis was confined to blood EOS counts, and we did not assess sputum EOS, other inflammatory markers such as interleukin-5, or comprehensive systemic inflammation markers. These factors introduce a degree of heterogeneity within our dataset, particularly regarding participants’ inhaled corticosteroid use, diverse maintenance therapy regimens, and the presence of various comorbidities. The absence of uniformity in these aspects made the systematic inclusion of these critical variables in our logistic regression analysis infeasible. As a result, we could not precisely ascertain the independent contribution of these factors to the observed outcomes. While our findings offer valuable insights, their interpretation must consider the potential confounding effects of differing medication use and underlying health conditions that were not comprehensively addressed in the statistical models. Further investigations, ideally incorporating controlled, prospective, and multi-center methodologies, are essential to thoroughly decipher these complex interactions.

CONCLUSION

In conclusion, our findings suggest a potential association between low blood EOS counts and an elevated risk of hospitalization in patients with COPD. This finding highlights the heterogeneous nature of COPD and the clinical significance of different inflammatory phenotypes. Closer monitoring of COPD patients with low EOS counts and the development of personalised treatment strategies for this group are necessary. Further research is needed to investigate this area and improve the management of COPD.

Ethics

Ethics Committee Approval: Both studies from which data were obtained received approval from the local ethics committee. First study from Biruni University, second study from Clinical Research Ethics Committee of Istanbul Medeniyet University, Göztepe Training and Research Hospital. (decision number: 2018/24-05, date: 28.12.2018).
Informed Consent: All patients included in the study were informed about the study, and written consents were obtained from them.

Author Contributions

Surgical and Medical Practices: B.A.Y., E.E.Y., Concept: B.A.Y., E.E.Y., Design: B.A.Y., E.E.Y., Data Collection and/or Processing: B.A.Y., E.E.Y., E.H.K., E.Y.O.N., C.D., F.C.G., Analysis or Interpretation: B.A.Y., E.E.Y., E.H.K., E.Y.O.N., C.D., F.C.G., Literature Search: B.A.Y., E.E.Y., E.H.K., E.Y.O.N., C.D., F.C.G., Writing: B.A.Y., E.E.Y., E.H.K., E.Y.O.N., C.D., F.C.G.
Conflict of Interest: The authors have no conflict of interest to declare.
Financial Disclosure: The authors declared that this study has received no financial support.

References

1
World Health Organization (WHO). The silent killer: why chronic respiratory disease deserves global attention [Internet]. Geneva: World Health Organization; 2024 Nov 20 [cited 2025 Sep 24]. Available from: https://www.who.int/news-room/commentaries/detail/the-silent-killer--why-chronic-respiratory-disease-deserves-global-attention
2
Singh D, Agusti A, Anzueto A, et al. Global strategy for the diagnosis, management, and prevention of chronic obstructive lung disease: the GOLD science committee report 2019. Eur Respir J. 2019;53:1900164.
3
Beech A, Singh D. EOSs and COPD. In: Wedzicha JA, Allinson JP, Calverley PMA, eds. COPD in the 21st Century (ERS Monograph). Sheffield: European Respiratory Society; 2024. p.149-67.
4
Singh D, Kolsum U, Brightling CE, et al. Eosinophilic inflammation in COPD: prevalence and clinical characteristics. Eur Respir J. 2014;44:1697-700.
5
Kerkhof M, Chaudhry I, Pavord ID, et al. Blood eosinophil count predicts treatment failure and hospital readmission for COPD. ERJ Open Res. 2020;6:00188-2020.
6
Sivapalan P, Lapperre TS, Janner J, et al. Eosinophil-guided corticosteroid therapy in patients admitted to hospital with COPD exacerbation (CORTICO-COP): a multicentre, randomised, controlled, open-label, non-inferiority trial. Lancet Respir Med. 2019;7:699-709.
7
Cui Y, Zhan Z, Zeng Z, et al. Blood eosinophils and clinical outcomes in patients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: a propensity score matching analysis of real-world data in China. Front Med (Lausanne). 2021;8:653777.
8
Singh D, Bafadhel M, Brightling CE, et al. Blood eosinophil counts in clinical trials for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Am J Respir Crit Care Med. 2020;202:660-71.
9
Holland M, Alkhalil M, Chandromouli S, Janjua A, Babores M. Eosinopenia as a marker of mortality and length of stay in patients admitted with exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Respirology. 2010;15:165-7.
10
Yazar EE, Yi Itba B, Niksarl O Lu EY, Bayraktaro Lu M, Kul S. Is group C really needed as a separate group from D in COPD? A single-center cross-sectional study. Pulmonology. 2023;29:188-93.
11
Gürel FC, Bilici D, Ertan Yazar E, et al. Side effects of long-term inhaled corticosteroid use in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. AJFAMED. 2024;7:115-20.
12
Ko FWS, Chan KP, Ngai J, et al. Blood eosinophil count as a predictor of hospital length of stay in COPD exacerbations. Respirology. 2020;25:259-66.
13
Barnes PJ. Cellular and molecular mechanisms of asthma and COPD. Clin Sci (Lond). 2017;131:1541-58.
14
Greulich T, Tüffers J, Mager S, et al. High eosinophil blood counts are associated with a shorter length of hospital stay in exacerbated COPD patients - a retrospective analysis. Respir Res. 2020;21:106.
15
Bafadhel M, Greening NJ, Harvey-Dunstan TC, et al. Blood eosinophils and outcomes in severe hospitalized exacerbations of COPD. Chest. 2016;150:320-8.
16
Zhang C, Song J, Wang J. Meta-analysis of peripheral blood eosinophils in clinical testing of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease patients. Postepy Dermatol Alergol. 2024;41:155-63.
17
Lv MY, Qiang LX, Li ZH, Jin SD. The lower the eosinophils, the stronger the inflammatory response? The relationship of different levels of eosinophils with the degree of inflammation in acute exacerbation chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD). J Thorac Dis. 2021;13:232-43.
18
Tan WC, Bourbeau J, Nadeau G, et al. High eosinophil counts predict decline in FEV 1 : results from the CanCOLD study. Eur Respir J. 2021;57:2000838.
19
Hong YS, Park HY, Ryu S, et al. The association of blood eosinophil counts and FEV 1 decline: a cohort study. Eur Respir J.2024;63:2301037.
20
Ferrari M, Pizzini M, Cazzoletti L, et al. Circulating eosinophil levels and lung function decline in stable chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: a retrospective longitudinal study. J Bras Pneumol. 2022;48:e20220183.
21
Shin SH, Park HY, Kang D et al. KOLD Study Group. Serial blood EOSs and clinical outcome in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Respir Res.2018;19:134.